📚 CAIE AS Statistics: Cross-disciplinary Comprehensive Question Training | CAIE AS 统计学:跨学科综合题型训练
Cross-disciplinary problems in CAIE AS Statistics bridge theoretical concepts with real-world applications, from biology to economics. This article provides a series of integrated exercises that train you to apply probability distributions, hypothesis testing, correlation and regression in varied contexts. Each example includes a detailed bilingual walkthrough to sharpen your exam skills.
CAIE AS 统计学中的跨学科题目将理论概念与现实应用相结合,涵盖生物、经济等领域。本文提供一系列综合练习,训练你将概率分布、假设检验、相关与回归应用于不同情境的能力。每个例题均配有双语详细解析,助你提升应试技巧。
1. Biology: Normal Distribution of Leaf Lengths | 生物学:叶片长度的正态分布
h mean μ = 8.5 cm and standard deviation σ = 1.2 cm. A biologist selects leaves at random.
某种植物的叶片长度服从正态分布,均值 μ = 8.5 cm,标准差 σ = 1.2 cm。一位生物学家随机选取叶片。
(i) Find the probability that a randomly chosen leaf is longer than 10 cm.
(i) 求随机选取一片叶子的长度超过 10 cm 的概率。
(ii) If a sample of 10 leaves is taken, find the probability that at least 8 are shorter than 9 cm. State any assumptions.
(ii) 若抽取 10 片叶子组成样本,求至少有 8 片长度短于 9 cm 的概率,并说明所需假设。
Solution (i): 1.25. Using the normal table, Φ(1.25) = 0.8944. Hence P(X > 10) = 1 - 0.8944 = 0.1056.
解析 (i):标准化:Z = (10 - 8.5)/1.2 = 1.25。查标准正态表,Φ(1.25) = 0.8944,因此 P(X > 10) = 1 - 0.8944 = 0.1056。
Solution (ii): of leaves shorter than 9 cm follows B(10, 0.6616). We require P(Y ≥ 8) = P(8)+P(9)+P(10).
解析 (ii):先计算单叶短于 9 cm 的概率:Z ≈ 0.4167,Φ(0.4167) ≈ 0.6616,取 p = 0.6616。假设叶片间独立,则样本中短于 9 cm 的叶片数 Y ~ B(10, 0.6616)。需求 P(Y ≥ 8) = P(8)+P(9)+P(10)。
Using the binomial formula:
利用二项公式:
P(Y=8) = C(10,8) p⁸ (1-p)² ≈ 45 × 0.6616⁸ × 0.3384² ≈ 0.156
P(Y=9) = C(10,9) p⁹ (1-p) ≈ 10 × 0.6616⁹ × 0.3384 ≈ 0.070
P(Y=10) = p¹⁰ ≈ 0.6616¹⁰ ≈ 0.016
s the probability that at least 8 of the 10 leaves are shorter than 9 cm is about 0.242 (3 s.f.).
总和约为 0.242。因此 10 片叶子中至少有 8 片短于 9 cm 的概率约为 0.242(三位有效数字)。
2. Economics: Correlation and Regression – Inflation vs Unemployment | 经济学:相关与回归——通货膨胀率与失业率
An economist collects annual data from six countries, recording unemployment rate (x, %) and inflation rate (y, %). The aim is to investigate a possible linear relationship.
一位经济学家收集了六个国家的年度数据,记录了失业率 (x, %) 与通胀率 (y, %),以探究两者之间可能存在的线性关系。
The data are summarised below:
数据汇总如下:
| Country | x (unemployment) | y (inflation) |
|---|---|---|
| A | 4.2 | 2.1 |
| B | 5.8 | 3.0 |
| C | 6.5 | 3.4 |
| D | 7.1 | 3.8 |
| E | 8.0 | 4.5 |
| F | 9.4 | 5.2 |
n = 6, Σx = 41.0, Σy = 22.0, Σx² = 295.90, Σy² = 87.30, Σxy = 160.84.
n = 6, Σx = 41.0, Σy = 22.0, Σx² = 295.90, Σy² = 87.30, Σxy = 160.84。
(i) Calculate the product moment correlation coefficient r.
(i) 计算积矩相关系数 r。
(ii) Find the equation of the regression line of y on x.
(ii) 求 y 对 x 的回归直线方程。
Solution (i): 90 - 280.1667 = 15.7333. Syy = Σy² - (Σy)²/n = 87.30 - 22.0²/6 = 87.30 - 80.6667 = 6.6333.
解析 (i):Sxy = Σxy - (Σx Σy)/n = 160.84 - (41.0×22.0)/6 = 10.507。Sxx = Σx² - (Σx)²/n = 15.7333。Syy = Σy² - (Σy)²/n = 6.6333。
r = Sxy / √Sxx Syy = 10.507 / √15.7333 × 6.6333 = 10.507 / √104.37 ≈ 10.507 / 10.216 ≈ 1.028... Wait, this exceeds 1. Let' orrect data to ensure r < 1. Adjusted raw data: use consistent x, y to give r ≈ 0.98. I' 9*19.7)/6 =145.5 - 128.05=17.45, Sxx=299 - 39²/6=299 - 253.5=45.5, Syy=75.61 - 19.7²/6=75.61 - 64.683=10.927. r=17.45/√45.5*10.927 ; B:5.0,2.4; C:6.0,3.0; D:7.0,3.6; E:8.0,4.2; F:10.0,5.0. Then Σx=39, Σy=19.7. Σx²=299, Σy²=75.61, Σxy=145.5. And edit.
为了得到合理的 r,修正数据如下:
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